Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.053128 0.060553 0.068152 0.076480 0.085321 0.094397 0.104393
2025-10-05 0.045194 0.056529 0.068660 0.082473 0.097638 0.113671 0.131793
2025-10-12 0.036017 0.049306 0.064134 0.081589 0.101291 0.122599 0.147160
2025-10-19 0.030594 0.045361 0.062434 0.083073 0.106869 0.133040 0.163627
2025-10-26 0.025771 0.041436 0.060188 0.083425 0.110728 0.141195 0.177222
2025-11-02 0.022317 0.038740 0.059032 0.084729 0.115402 0.150039 0.191382
2025-11-09 0.018880 0.035641 0.057061 0.084782 0.118389 0.156768 0.202984
2025-11-16 0.014904 0.031317 0.053177 0.082192 0.117983 0.159368 0.209673
2025-11-23 0.011644 0.027559 0.049700 0.079838 0.117643 0.161864 0.216086
2025-11-30 0.010019 0.026027 0.049039 0.080929 0.121394 0.169099 0.227931
2025-12-07 0.008773 0.024924 0.048856 0.082553 0.125739 0.176992 0.240507
2025-12-14 0.007994 0.024493 0.049552 0.085279 0.131420 0.186458 0.254915
2025-12-21 0.006658 0.022987 0.048735 0.086119 0.134934 0.193578 0.266894
2025-12-28 0.006908 0.024451 0.052322 0.092935 0.146077 0.210007 0.290008
2026-01-04 0.005355 0.022217 0.050285 0.092062 0.147409 0.214519 0.298969
2026-01-11 0.004532 0.021271 0.050102 0.093656 0.151843 0.222771 0.312357
2026-01-18 0.003597 0.019864 0.049093 0.094033 0.154659 0.229007 0.323309
2026-01-25 0.002961 0.018984 0.048845 0.095422 0.158749 0.236785 0.336091
2026-02-01 0.002229 0.017622 0.047707 0.095479 0.161050 0.242316 0.346140
2026-02-08 0.001319 0.015271 0.044709 0.092718 0.159531 0.243020 0.350278
2026-02-15 0.000681 0.013203 0.041980 0.090208 0.158242 0.243934 0.354605
2026-02-22 0.000459 0.012566 0.041755 0.091371 0.161846 0.250965 0.366364
2026-03-01 0.000313 0.012160 0.041921 0.093103 0.166206 0.258941 0.379275